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Brandon Lee Brandon Lee
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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
Miami-OH vs Army
Miami-OH
+8½ -109 at pinnacle
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Free

FREE PICK - Miami (OH) RedHawks +8.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 333

I think we are getting some great value here with Miami (OH) catching more than a touchdown on the road against Army. This is the perfect storm for an inflated number. The Black Knights are 3-0 to start the season and are facing a RedHawks team that is winless at 0-2. 

The thing is, that's really what the records should be for these two teams given the schedule. There's just something about an undefeated team that draws in the public. It's also really hard, even when getting points, to bet on a team that hasn't won a game. 

It certainly would have been a shock if Miami (OH) came into this game with a win. Their two games have been on the road against Cincinnati and at Minnesota. They did get beat pretty bad in the game against the Bearcats, but so would Army if they played that team on the road. They only lost by 5 to the Gophers as a 18-point dog, so clearly there was some overreaction to that loss to Cincinnati. 

The Black Knights' have won at Georgia State and beat both WKU and UConn at home. I don't think I need to do a lot of explaining on how bad UConn has been. Western Kentucky is one of the better teams out of C-USA, but simply aren't good enough up front to handle Army's triple-option offense. Georgia State is an average Sun Belt team. 

I know it was 3 seasons ago, but when these two teams last played in 2018, Miami (OH) lost 30-31 in 2OT at Army (went for 2 and the win...didn't get it). Wouldn't you know, they were a 8-point dog in that game. 

After facing two really good run oriented offenses in Cincinnati and Minnesota, I think it has this RedHawks team well prepared for this matchup. I also think they will be the more motivated team. Wouldn't shock me at all if they won outright. Give me Miami (OH) +8.5! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
UMass vs Coastal Carolina
OVER 65½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

40* (CFB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 65.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 65.5 between Coastal Carolina and UMass, as I think this game easily gets into the 70's. You might be asking how that happens when you got a team like UMass that is averaging just 21.0 ppg. It's more about how bad the Minutemen are on the defensive side of the ball.

 UMass gave up 51 in their opener at Pitt, allowed 45 at home to BC and 42 at home to E Michigan. They are giving up 220 yards/game and 5.2 yards/carry vs the run. They are also giving up 306 ypg and a 74% completion rate vs the pass. 

Coastal Carolina averages 43.0 ppg, 230 yards/game and 6 yards/carry, while throwing for 275 yards/game and completing 78% of their pass attempts. The Chanticleers would have to play their worst possible game to not hit 40 points. I think they get to at least 50. 

UMass might not do a lot to help us early, but they will have plenty of opportunities to score in the 2nd half when Coastal Carolina calls off the dogs. I see this somewhere along the lines of 49 to 24. Give me the OVER 65.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
Texas Tech vs Texas
Texas Tech
+8 -110 at William Hill
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

40* (CFB) - Smart Money ATS SHOCKER (Texas Tech +8) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Red Raiders as a 8-point dog against the Longhorns Saturday night. I definitely think Texas should be favored at home, but no way should they be laying more than a touchdown. 

I was really high on the Red Raiders coming into this year. All signs pointed to them making a big jump from last year's 4-6 team. It's now year 3 under head coach Matt Wells, who is a guy I really like (two time MW COY). It's now a roster full of guys he's recruited for his style of play. 

Texas Tech is off to a 3-0 start. They have played a pretty easy schedule, but did beat Houston 38-21 as a 3-point dog on a neutral site. 

The Red Raiders are scoring 40.0 ppg and it's come against teams who on average allow just 27.2. They got a crazy good 7.6 yards/play, are averaging 5.7 yards/carry and completing 67.1% of their pass attempts. 

The defense is only giving up 291 ypg, 4.0 yards/play and allowing just 1.8 yards/carry vs the run. There's no reason Tech can't win this game outright and if I was making the number here it would be Texas -4. Give me the Red Raiders +8! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
UCLA vs Stanford
UCLA
-4 -110 at SC Consensus
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* (CFB) - Prime Time ATS SLAUGHTER (UCLA -4) 

I love the spot and the price here with UCLA as a slim 4-point road favorite against Stanford. I think it's a great buy low spot on the Bruins after last week's 37-40 loss at home to Fresno State as a 10.5-point favorite. That's a really really good Fresno State team that gave Oregon all they could handle earlier in the season. 

Same time, I think we are seeing the Cardinal getting a little bit of love after their last two games. The big one was two weeks ago when they went on the road and beat USC 42-28 as a 17-point dog. They followed that up with a 41-23 win at Vandy as a 12.5-point favorite. 

UCLA couldn't have looked much better in their first two games, rolling Hawaii 44-10 and upsetting LSU 38-27 at home. It might be taking a little longer than some thought, but Chip Kelly definitely has this Bruins program on the rise. 

I just don't think Stanford is going to be able to keep pace offensively with UCLA. The Bruins are averaging 4.8 yards/carry vs teams that allow 3.3. The Cardinal are giving up 5.9 yards/carry vs teams that only average 4.5. 

The Bruins are giving up 63 yards/game and 2.3 yards/carry. Stanford is only averaging 128 rush yards/game and in their lone loss, a 7-24 setback against K-State, they only had 39 rushing yards on 22 attempts. 

I give UCLA a big edge in the trenches on both sides of the ball. As long as the Bruins don't go out and turn it over a bunch, they should roll here. Give me UCLA -4! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
Nebraska vs Michigan State
Michigan State
-4½ -110 at SC Consensus
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

50* (CFB) - Big Ten Conf PLAY OF THE WEEK (Michigan St -4.5)

I'll be the first to admit that I greatly undervalued this Michigan State team in last week's game against Miami. They should have been the ones that were the near touchdown favorite. The Spartans won the game 38-17. 

Michigan State has one of the best players not everyone knows about in Wake Forest transfer running back Kenneth Walker III. He had 172 yards on 27 attempts (6.4 yards/carry). He leads the country with 493 rushing yards. 

Opposing defenses have no choice but to load the box to try and stop him from taking over the game and even then it's not enough. It's really opened up things for quarterback Payton Thorne. He's completed 62.3% of his attempts with a 9-0 TD-INT ratio. 

Nebraska is giving up 156 yards/game and 4.3 yards/carry vs the run, which to me is concerning. They have played 3 awful teams in Illinois, Fordham and Buffalo and the other was against an Oklahoma team that likes to throw it with their stud QB.

Speaking of the Sooners, I really feel like Nebraska is getting a lot of respect for keeping it much closer than expect in last week's 16-23 loss to Oklahoma. All you heard about that game was how the Sooners were going to roll them. I just wonder if the Oklahoma players didn't let some of that go to their head. 

Adrian Martinez has put up some decent passing numbers, but I think for him to really have success they need to be able to run the ball. Something that hasn't been easy to do on the Spartans. 

You also got to take into account the difficult spot here for Nebraska. It's not going to be easy playing their second straight on the road, especially after how much they put into that game against Oklahoma. On top of that, it's going to be a rowdy atmosphere under the lights in East Lansing. Give me Michigan State -4.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
LSU vs Mississippi State
Mississippi State
+2½ -110 at SC Consensus
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

50* (CFB) - SEC Conf PLAY OF THE WEEK (Miss St +2.5)

I love the Bulldogs as a home dog against LSU. The books are begging you to lay less than a field goal with the Tigers, but they got no business being favored in this game. I really think LSU is still overvalued from that title team with Burrow a couple of years ago. It's looking more and more like a fluke. 

As soon as Burrow and offensive guru Joe Brady left town, LSU has struggled to beat good teams. We already seen them lose by double-digits on the road against UCLA. That's a good Bruins team, but one a good LSU team should beat pretty handedly. 

Mississippi State is 2-1 with wins over La Tech and NC State. The lone loss was last week's 29-31 setback at Memphis. If you didn't see it, the Bulldogs got absolutely screwed in that game by a horrible call by the refs. The win that really stands out is the 24-10 victory against NC State. A game they closed as a slim home dog. 

I just really like what Mike Leach is doing in Starkville. As you would expect with a Leach offense, they sling it on just about every play. Defending the pass hasn't exactly been a strong suit of the Tigers. Last year Mississippi State had 623 passing yards in a 44-34 upset win at LSU. 

I also think the Bulldogs defense is very underrated. They are giving up just 5 yards/play, which isn't out of this world, but it's come against teams who are averaging 6.7 yards/play on the season. LSU has given up 4.6 yards/play and it's been against offenses that average 4.9 yards/play. Give me Mississippi State +2.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State
Kansas State
+6 -110 at BetVegas
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

50* (CFB) Big 12 Conf PLAY OF THE YEAR (Kansas St +6) 

I absolutely love the value here with Kansas State as a 6-point road dog against Oklahoma State. I'm not 100% sure the right team is favored. I was way down on the Cowboys coming into this year and I still think they aren't a good team after their 3-0 start. To me, it's the perfect spot to sell high on this team. 

Oklahoma State only beat Missouri State 23-16 in their season opener at home. Really lucky the defense stepped up in the red zone and held the Bears to 3 field goals (two inside 35 yards). They then only beat Tulsa 28-23 and were trailing 7-14 going into the 4th quarter. Last week they somehow beat Boise State 21-20 after falling behind 7-20 in the 1st half. Cowboys are 3-0 and yet are outing teams on the year 337 to 329. 

K-State is also 3-0 and probably would be getting a little more respect if they didn't lose starting QB Skyler Thompson to a knee injury. This is a team that can without great QB play, as they run it extremely well and are outstanding on the defensive side of the ball. Wildcats are giving up just 1.9 yards/rush and if they take away the run from the Cowboys their offense is in major trouble. 

Adding to that, since Mike Gundy took over as head coach, Oklahoma State is 15-25 ATS vs teams who are giving up 3.25 or less yards/carry. K-State has covered 7 of their 10 road games under Chris Klieman and won outright in 4 of their 9 as a road dog. Give me the Wildcats +6! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
Missouri vs Boston College
Boston College
+2 -109 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* (CFB) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Boston College +2) 

I'm going to take the Boston College +2 at home against Missouri. The Eagles come in 3-0, but I think they are still flying a bit under the radar. A lot of that has to do with the loss of starting quarterback Phil Jurkovec and the lack of quality wins they have on their resume.

I also think that while Missouri is far from an SEC power, a lot of people just see SEC vs ACC and automatically lay the short number with the Tigers without even looking into this game. 

The loss of Jurkovec is a tough blow for BC, but not all is lost with backup Dennis Grosel. I know he was a pedestrian 7 of 15 for 59 yards in last week's game against Temple, but I think that was a direct result of the Eagles feeling like they didn't need to throw with how they were running it and playing defense. That's how this team wants to win. They want to run the ball behind one of the best o-lines in the country and play solid defense. No surprise this is how they play under 2nd year head coach Jeff Hafley who worked his way up on the defensive side of the ball. 

Grosel was 11 of 14 for 199 yards the previous week against UMASS and if you remember back to last year he had that ridiculous game at Virginia to close out the year, going 32 of 46 for 520 yards and 4 TDs. If needed, I think he's more than capable of answering the call. 

As for the schedule, it's been 3 cupcake opponents for the Eagles with Colgate, UMASS and Temple. The most important thing is they dominated those games. They are +31 ppg, averaging 406 ypg and giving up just 256 ypg. Just because they haven't played anybody doesn't mean they aren't a good football team. 

As for Missouri, I got a lot of concerns with this team. They are 2-1 with wins over Central Michigan and SE Missouri St and a 28-35 loss at Kentucky. It's really what you would expect from this team if you were handicapping their first 3 games coming into the season. 

I just haven't been that impressed with how they have got there. They only beat the Chippewas 34-24 as a 14-point favorite. They needed a field goal in the final second of the 1st half to take their first lead 17-14 into intermission and they only led 24-21 midway thru the 4th quarter. That looks a lot worse after watching LSU just annihilate Central Michigan this past weekend. LSU was up 42-7 with about 10 minutes to play in the 3rd quarter before completely calling off the dogs in a 49-21 win. 

That game against Kentucky was also not as close as the score would indicate. The Wildcats outgained the Tigers 519 to 398 and if Kentucky doesn't fumble deep in Missouri territory that game is 28-7 early in the 2nd quarter. Missouri had to complete a 3rd and Goal from the 7 for their first score and scored on a 17-yard TD pass with 4 seconds on the clock in the 1st half. 

The other huge thing here with Missouri is their defense. I think there was some hope that they would be improved from last year, when they gave up 32.3 ppg and 408 ypg. It doesn't seem to be. While they are only giving up 31.3 ppg, they are allowing 456 ypg. They are giving up 269 ypg on the ground, 6.4 yards/carry. They also gave up over 300 yards passing to Central Michigan. 

That BC offensive line is going to dominate this game and I think the Eagles ball control offense could take Missouri out of their rhythm. Only Eastern Michigan is averaging fewer plays per game offensively than the Eagles through the first 3 weeks of the season. 

Lastly, I think there's some outside factors here favoring Boston College. First, you have Missouri head coach Eliah Drinkwitz saying how he wishes the Tigers were playing someone else out of conference and how he can't think of the last time Missouri even recruited a guy out of the state of UMass. He might not of meant it as a slight to the Eagles, but that's 100% how the players and coaches are going to see. 

This is also the first time that BC has got to host a SEC school since 1987. I know it's a 1 o'clock game out east, but I think it will be an electric atmosphere at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill. Give me the Eagles +2! 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 26, 2021
Packers vs 49ers
49ers
-3½ +112 at pinnacle
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

40* (NFL) Packers/49ers SNF MONEY-MAKER (49ers -3.5) 

I bought this to -3 when I put the play in (can't buy points on the site), but lucky for you this line has dropped down to -3 at most books. I don't think it will matter either way. I'm just don't think this Packers team is as good as what people think. The defense is vulnerable, especially against the run, and the offense is going to have their ups and downs until they get healthy on the offensive line. 

I give the 49ers a massive edge on both sides of the trenches and we have seen Rodgers struggle to play well when Green Bay goes out west. I see the 49ers putting together a very similar game plan to the Saints, where they just play keep away from Rodgers and the offense with the run game. The betting public won't be able to help themselves with the Packers as a dog, but I got a feeling this game is going to be lopsided the other way. Note that Green Bay is just 9-14 ATS with Rodgers as a starter as a dog and the 49ers are 14-5 SU last 19 at home and have won 23 of their last 27 as a favorite. Give me San Francisco -3.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 26, 2021
Bucs vs Rams
Rams
+1½ -110 at SC Consensus
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* (NFL) - Bucs/Rams Big Game ATS NO-BRAINER (Rams +1.5) 

I will take my chances with the Rams as a +1.5 home dog against the Bucs in the most anticipated game of Week 3. While these are two public teams right now, Tampa Bay is right there with the Chiefs as the biggest public teams and they are going to be the one everyone takes, especially with this line. I just think the Rams are primed to win this game at home. 

LA head coach Sean McVay couldn't have been more excited about getting Matthew Stafford and you can see why after these first two games. This Rams team was pretty potent with Goff, now they are elite. 

I also still think people are way too high on this Tampa Bay defense after how they dominated the Super Bowl against the Chiefs. That was more of the Chiefs having 2nd and 3rd stringers on the offensive line, many of which were playing out of position. This Bucs secondary is not that good and we have seen them get exposed in the first two games. 

Tom Brady and the Bucs clearly have a great offense, but this is going to be by far the best defense they have seen this season after playing the Cowboys and Falcons. We also know the one way to get Brady off his game is to get pressure up the middle. No one in the league is better at that than LA's Aaron Donald. I just trust the Rams offense more in this one. Give me Los Angeles +1.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 26, 2021
Bengals vs Steelers
Bengals
+3 +100 at SC Consensus
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

50* (NFL) - AFC North PLAY OF THE MONTH (Bengals +3) 

I love the Bengals as a mere 3-point road dog against the Steelers. I'll be the first to admit that I thought this Steelers team was going to be better than people thought. I don't think that anymore. While Pittsburgh's defense is one of the better units in the league, the offense is one of the worst. The Steelers offensive line might be the worst in the NFL and Big Ben looks like he's half the quarterback he was. Roethlisberger is also now dealing with a pec injury, so this doesn't figure to be the game he gets on track. 

I also have big concerns with Pittsburgh's defense is T.J. Watt can't go. He's one of several guys on the defensive side of the ball that are questionable for this game. 

As for the Bengals, I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of this team in their first two games. Joe Burrow might not have any better of an offensive line in front of him, but he's shown that he can find a way to make things happen. I also think this Cincinnati defense is vastly underrated. The Bengals are only giving up 304 ypg, 4.7 yards/play and 3.4 yards/rush. Give me Cincinnati +3! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 26, 2021
Ravens vs Lions
OVER 49½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

50* (NFL) - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 49.5) 

I was shocked to see this total less than 50. The Lions are awful defensively and we have seen time after time this Ravens offense light it up with Lamar Jackson against bad teams. I know Jackson is questionable with an illness, but everything I've read is that he will be on the field Sunday. 

I'm confident we are going to get 30+ from the Ravens in this one and a good chance they hit the 40-point mark. That means all we need is 20-25 from the Lions to cash this ticket. I know Detroit only had 17 in their MNF loss to Green Bay, but they just couldn't get anything going in the 2nd half. 

The Ravens are a good defensive team, but they are a team that likes to blitz a lot, so I feel pretty good about Goff and that Lions offense having a few good drives in this game. You also have to factor in the perfect conditions playing in a dome. Give me the OVER 49.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 26, 2021
Seahawks vs Vikings
Vikings
+2 -115 at BetVegas
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* (NFL) - Public Money ATS MASSACRE (Vikings +2) 

I will take a shot on the Vikings as a 2-point home dog against the Seahawks on Sunday. The betting public is going to be all over Seattle in this game and the books know it. For them to make the Seahawks less than a field, tells you a lot about how confident they are with Minnesota winning this game. 

The Vikings are 0-2, but could just as easily be 2-0. They should have won in OT at Cincinnati in Week 1 and had a field goal to win it on the road late at Arizona in Week 2. So not only is Minnesota better than people think, they are going to be a desperate team here to avoid an 0-3 start. You also have to keep in mind the Vikings will be playing their first game at home this year. 

Minnesota is 35-22 (61%) ATS at home under head coach Mike Zimmer. They are also 20-9 ATS last 29 off a road loss under Zimmer and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 off a loss by 3-points or less. Give me the Vikings +2!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 26, 2021
Washington Football Team vs Bills
Washington Football Team
+8 -110 at William Hill
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

40* (NFL) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Football Team +8) 

I will gladly take the 8-points with the Football Team on the road against the Bills. I came into this season thinking Buffalo was one of the most overrated teams in the NFL and they certainly haven't looked like an elite team early on. They lost Week 1 at home to a Steelers team that has no offense and while they did win 35-0 last week at Miami, that game was not near as close as the final score would indicate. Not to mention the Dolphins were behind the 8-ball early in that game with Tua leaving with an injury. 

Washington was a team a lot of people were high on coming into the season. Even though they are 1-1 with their only loss to the Chargers, it's like everyone has flipped on this team and think they aren't a serious contender anymore in the NFC East. I just think it has the Football Team way undervalued here against a Bills team that just hasn't played great. 

One thing that I keep hearing is how this Washington defense isn't any good. Yes, they were overrated coming into the season, but they aren't as bad as what people are saying. I think Chase Young is going to have a big game here and I like this defense to play well enough for the Football Team to not only cover, but win outright. Give me Washington +8! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 26, 2021
Jets vs Broncos
Jets
+10½ -110 at William Hill
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

40* (NFL) - Situational ATS BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (+10.5) 

I’m going to take the New York Jets as a 10.5-point road dog against the Denver Broncos. I just think this line is a little out of control. This might be from a casual fans perspective the biggest mismatch on the board Sunday. The Jets are 0-2 and have failed to cover the spread in both games. They looked dreadful last week in a 25-6 loss at home to the Pats. Denver on the other hand is 2-0 and have cashed against the spread in both games. 

When I look at how these two teams got to where they are, I don’t think New York is as bad as what people think and I don’t think the Broncos are as good as people think. 

It shouldn’t have surprised anyone how bad the Jets looked last week against the Patriots. That was a matchup nightmare with how Bill Belichick’s mastery of rookie QBs on the defensive side and the fact that you had a desperate and pissed of NE team that was trying to avoid an 0-2 start after giving a game away at home to the Dolphins in Week 1. 

That game was so lopsided that I think people are completely overlooking how competitive they were in a 14-19 road loss to the Panthers. Now I know it’s only two weeks in, but that Carolina team is the real deal. If there’s a team that surprises and makes the playoffs out of the NFC, my money is on the Panthers. They got a very good defense and are extremely well coached on both sides. 

I really think the Jets have faced two of the best defensive teams in the league in their first two games. Now I know the Broncos are no pushover defensively, but I don’t think they are on the same level as those two teams. Denver is also down some guys on the defensive side. They lost starting inside linebacker Josey Jewell, one of their top pass rushers in Bradley Chubb and one of their top corners in Ronald Darby. Wouldn’t surprise me at all if Zack Wilson had a breakout game here. 

Getting back to Denver being overvalued. I don’t get why everyone is going all in with this team after beating the Giants and Jags. I get both of those were on the road, but they should be 2-0 coming into this game. Anything other than that would be a huge disappointment. They only beat the Giants by 14 and that game was 10-7 less than halfway thru the 3rd quarter. New York had 4 drives end in Broncos territory that resulted in 0 points. Trailing by just 10 late in the 3rd, they fumbled on 1st and 10 from the Denver 22. The next drive they had 1st and Goal from the 7 and gained 1 yard before turning it over on downs. Very next series they had 1st and 10 from the Den 16 and again turned it over on downs. 

I know the Jags had a 102 yard KO return for a TD late in the 4th to only lost by a final score of 23-13, but I feel pretty confident saying Jacksonville is the worst team in the league. Let’s not also forget they only led 10-7 at the half of that game. If the Broncos are a real playoff contender, that should have been even more lopsided than it was. 

Last thing I want to point out is I think the perception is the Jets are an awful defensive team, but the numbers don’t support that. Not many teams only give up 25 points when their offense turns it over 4 times. Pats scored two TDs and a FG on 3 of those turnovers. I think people would be shocked to see that the Jets outgained NE 336 to 260 in that game. 

No way I’m passing up on the value we are getting at 10.5 with the spread, but I truly believe New York can win this game outright if Wilson takes care of the ball. Give me the Jets +10.5. 

SERVICE BIO

Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!